Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.003609 0.003792 0.003979 0.004185 0.004407 0.004637 0.004895
2025-03-23 0.003244 0.003510 0.003794 0.004121 0.004487 0.004886 0.005356
2025-03-30 0.003009 0.003321 0.003662 0.004066 0.004533 0.005059 0.005701
2025-04-06 0.002862 0.003209 0.003597 0.004067 0.004625 0.005272 0.006086
2025-04-13 0.002662 0.003020 0.003428 0.003931 0.004540 0.005262 0.006193
2025-04-20 0.002567 0.002946 0.003385 0.003936 0.004616 0.005441 0.006532
2025-04-27 0.002514 0.002917 0.003391 0.003996 0.004759 0.005703 0.006984
2025-05-04 0.002416 0.002828 0.003319 0.003955 0.004769 0.005796 0.007218
2025-05-11 0.002335 0.002756 0.003263 0.003929 0.004795 0.005906 0.007477
2025-05-18 0.002259 0.002687 0.003208 0.003900 0.004813 0.006003 0.007719
2025-05-25 0.002232 0.002677 0.003225 0.003963 0.004952 0.006265 0.008201
2025-06-01 0.002175 0.002626 0.003188 0.003952 0.004991 0.006392 0.008495
2025-06-08 0.002112 0.002567 0.003138 0.003924 0.005006 0.006487 0.008752
2025-06-15 0.002040 0.002493 0.003067 0.003865 0.004975 0.006516 0.008911
2025-06-22 0.001976 0.002428 0.003005 0.003815 0.004954 0.006555 0.009085
2025-06-29 0.001936 0.002393 0.002982 0.003816 0.005004 0.006698 0.009425
2025-07-06 0.001850 0.002295 0.002870 0.003691 0.004868 0.006563 0.009321
2025-07-13 0.001817 0.002266 0.002852 0.003695 0.004919 0.006705 0.009663
2025-07-20 0.001804 0.002265 0.002870 0.003751 0.005046 0.006965 0.010212
2025-07-27 0.001759 0.002218 0.002824 0.003713 0.005032 0.007010 0.010405
2025-08-03 0.001721 0.002179 0.002789 0.003690 0.005039 0.007085 0.010653
2025-08-10 0.001684 0.002141 0.002753 0.003663 0.005039 0.007150 0.010885
2025-08-17 0.001677 0.002143 0.002774 0.003720 0.005170 0.007427 0.011503